Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra


	Bristol City		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.25
	3.3	3.4	2.25
	3.35	3.25	2.24
	3.3	3.44	2.27
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.19	3.36	2.27	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
29.6%

Draw
28.3%

Nottingham Forest
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	35.3%	41.2%

Bristol City - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 19. Tanner G. 26. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 2. McCrorie R. 22. Gardner-Hickman T. 6. James M. (C) 3. Pring C. 12. Knight J. 11. Mehmeti A. 15. Conway T.	1. Turner M. (G) 29. Montiel G. 32. Omobamidele A. 40. Murillo 3. Tavares N. 28. Danilo 5. Mangala O. 16. Dominguez N. 22. Yates R. (C) 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
37. Backwell T. 23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 9. Cornick H. 10. King A. 27. Knight-Lebel J. 30. Nelson R. 24. Roberts H. 21. Wells N.	41. Aguilera Zamora B. 53. Gardner J. 10. Gibbs-White M. 26. McKenna S. 49. Osong D. E. 15. Toffolo H. 23. Vlachodimos O. (G) 7. Williams N. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Manning L.	Espirito Santo N.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1.

Recent matches Bristol City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nottingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nottingham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
20.01.24	Bristol City - Watford	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Bristol City - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
13.01.24	Preston North End - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	West Ham United - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Bristol City - Millwall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWLTL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
20.01.24	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.24	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest	2:3 ET ✺
07.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	2:0
19.10.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	1:2
10.04.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0
03.10.20	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	1:2
01.07.20	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	1:0
23.11.19	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	0:0
19.01.19	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	0:1

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