Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Quevilly		Metz

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.3
	3.05	2.95	2.48
	2.9	2.9	2.42
	3.48	3.08	2.38
	3.25	2.88	2.35
	3.24	2.93	2.45	Watch
	3.3	3	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.5)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	2.37 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quevilly
28.9%

Draw
31.6%

Metz
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quevilly's form might have worsened.

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quevilly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Quevilly - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Quevilly will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Metz will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Quevilly has the most likely position - 9 (11.93%), project points - 53, currently - 39, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Metz has the most likely position - 3 (25.51%), project points - 65, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of promoted (32%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 38, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Quevilly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Quevilly
French Ligue 2
11.03.23	Nîmes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Quevilly - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Laval - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Quevilly - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Bastia - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWTW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
13.03.23	Metz - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Annecy - Metz	0:3 ✺
25.02.23	Metz - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Dijon - Metz	0:0 ✺
13.02.23	Metz - Caen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.01.23	Metz - Quevilly	2:0
French Ligue 3
08.02.13	Metz - Quevilly	2:0
31.08.12	Quevilly - Metz	3:6

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