Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Quevilly		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.5
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.86	3.56	4.47
	2.06	3.53	3.7
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	2.03	3.64	3.52	Watch
	2.01	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	3.62 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quevilly
47.4%

Draw
26.6%

Dunkerque
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quevilly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunkerque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Quevilly - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Quevilly will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quevilly: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leroy B. (G) 4. Pierret B. 5. Cissokho T. 6. Batisse A. 22. Loric S. 93. Camara M. 20. Cisse N. 31. Poha D. 90. Yade P. 12. Gbelle G. (C) 19. Coulibaly K.	30. Kone M. (G) 19. Youssouf B. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Lagae B. 7. Bilingi Y. 10. Anziani J. 25. Gbamin J. 80. Yassine G. 20. Bardeli E. 92. Maurer A. 18. Courtet G.
Substitutes
16. Bonnevie K. (G) 8. Cadiou N. 23. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 14. Do Marcolino F. 35. Legendre R. 21. Roche Y. 17. Sangare G.	2. Ba A. 24. Bah A. 16. Balijon A. (G) 3. Bessile L. 8. Keita T. 15. Laaziri A. 11. Mughe F. R.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Courtet G. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Coulibaly K. ⚽, Yade P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Maurer A. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
54', Pierret B. 🟨,
64', Maurer A. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
67', Poha D. ↓, Sangare G. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Gbamin J. ⚽,
74', Camara M. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
81', Yassine G. ↓, Laaziri A. ↑,
82', Yade P. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
82', Cisse N. ↓, Roche Y. ↑,
88', Roche Y. 🟨,
89', Bardeli E. ↓, Keita T. ↑,
89', Gbamin J. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
90+6', Laaziri A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 2.

Recent matches Quevilly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dunkerque is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quevilly will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Quevilly
French Ligue 2
27.04.24	Ajaccio - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
23.04.24	Quevilly - Amiens	3:3 ✺
20.04.24	Concarneau - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Quevilly - Auxerre	4:3 ✺
06.04.24	Rodez - Quevilly	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTTWT
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
29.04.24	Dunkerque - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
23.04.24	Bordeaux - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amiens - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bastia - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.09.23	Dunkerque - Quevilly	0:1
14.05.22	Quevilly - Dunkerque	3:1
24.07.21	Dunkerque - Quevilly	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.20	Dunkerque - Quevilly	2:2
French Ligue 3
10.01.20	Dunkerque - Quevilly	3:2
09.08.19	Quevilly - Dunkerque	1:3
01.03.19	Dunkerque - Quevilly	0:0

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