Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Quilmes		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	4.5	Watch
	2	2.7	4.33
	2.1	2.75	4.2	Watch
	2.11	2.78	4.6
	2.06	2.75	4.61	Watch
	2	2.75	4.4
	2.03	2.77	4.38
	2.1	2.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	4.4 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
45.2%

Draw
33.6%

Defensores de Belgrano
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

31.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

29%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Quilmes - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Adin D. 11. Allende L. 8. Enrique M. 9. Herrera E. 10. Luna R. 6. Moya S. 7. Parisi L. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 3. Sanchez A. 2. Tevez F.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 7. Aguirre E. (C) 6. De Tomasso J. 10. Gomez B. 9. Gonzalez E. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. Laba M. 2. Massaccesi A. 4. Mendoza G. 11. Moyano P. 3. Sanchez F.
Substitutes
19. Bordagaray F. . Capano J. . Ferreira M. . Gagliardo M. (G) 20. Gonzalez T. 16. Martinez R. . Perez F. . Postigo J. 15. Puzzo S.	20. Aquilino G. 14. Barbero M. 16. Borsotti N. 18. Chavez L. 13. Laumann F. 12. Nocetti A. (G) 15. Rumbolo R. 17. Sanchez C. 19. Zeineddin N.
Coaches
Rondina S.	Mayor C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Glellel E. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Enrique M. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Herrera E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Laba M. ↓, Borsotti N. ↑,
46', Gomez B. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
66', Sanchez A. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
67', Gonzalez E. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
67', Moyano P. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
74', Enrique M. ↓, Puzzo S. ↑,
74', Luna R. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
81', Parisi L. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
81', Herrera E. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 2.

Quilmes in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Defensores is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Quilmes is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.10.24	Quilmes - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Quilmes - Güemes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWWWW
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.10.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Aldosivi - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	1:0
21.01.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	0:1
15.02.20	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	2:0
26.08.19	Quilmes - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0
12.11.18	Quilmes - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2

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