Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.95	2.87	4.1
	1.92	2.88	4.45	Watch
	2.02	2.92	4.87
	1.96	2.88	4.68	Watch
	2	2.75	4.5
	1.94	2.89	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)	2.87 ↓ (3.11)	4.52 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
47.1%

Draw
32.3%

Colegiales
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

29.6%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Colegiales will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Meritello F. 2. Boolsen P. 6. Lorenzo A. (C) 3. Ayala R. 8. Vallejos M. 5. Olguin G. 10. Campos M. 11. Cosi J. 7. Montiel N. 9. Benegas M.	1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 4. Ocampo E. 2. Rasso I. 6. Strasorier S. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Cancio J. 5. Marin F. 7. Marra L. 10. Zicarelli F. 9. Robaldo V. 11. Castillo L.
Substitutes
15. Fernandez Pinto J. 18. Garcia F. 14. Lucero L. 13. Monserrat M. 19. Palacio P. 20. Parisi L. 17. Quiroga S. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 16. Tomasetti G.	15. Almada T. 17. Camargo M. 13. Ferreira M. 18. Garcia B. 14. Gimenez L. 19. Marin A. 16. Montiel F. 20. Rios A. 12. Rojas J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Cosi J. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
62', Montiel N. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
67', Castillo L. ↓, Camargo M. ↑,
67', Cancio J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽, Tomasetti G. (A),
74', Marra L. 🟨,
74', Tomasetti G. 🟨,
78', Robaldo V. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
78', Marra L. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
81', Meritello F. 🟨,
85', Campos M. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
85', Hanashiro F. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
87', Ocampo E. 🟨,
88', Benegas M. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
88', Olguin G. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
90', Rasso I. 🟨,
90', Monetti F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

Ferro Carril is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colegiales has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ferro Carril is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - All Boys	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Madryn	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Deportivo Maipú - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.08.25	Colegiales - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	San Miguel - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Colegiales - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Racing de Córdoba - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.25	Colegiales - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0

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