Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)


	Quilmes		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	7.5
	1.58	3.5	6
	1.62	3.3	5.6
	1.55	3.45	6.2
	1.56	3.74	6.93
	1.6	3.3	6
	1.57	3.62	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	3.49 ↑ (3.14)	6.31 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
58.7%

Draw
26.6%

Santamarina de Tandil
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

30%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

30%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quilmes's performance.

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quilmes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Quilmes - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quilmes: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 37 in the zone Relegation).

Quilmes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santamarina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Quilmes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Quilmes to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
02.05.22	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.04.22	Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.22	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
18.04.22	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTT
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
02.05.22	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
23.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
11.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.11.20	Santamarina de Tandil - Quilmes	1:0
28.09.19	Quilmes - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
02.12.18	Quilmes - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
04.11.17	Santamarina de Tandil - Quilmes	3:2

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