Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Nueva Chicago		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	5
	1.9	3	4.33
	1.92	2.8	4.5
	1.86	2.95	4.4
	1.93	3.12	4.85
	1.91	2.88	4.33
	1.86	3.16	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.24)	3.02 ↑ (2.84)	4.54 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
49%

Draw
30.7%

Santamarina de Tandil
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

32.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nueva Chicago's performance.

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nueva Chicago that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	48.5%	6.1%

Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). Santamarina will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 48.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.4% – 65.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 20 and 37 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 0.

Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santamarina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santamarina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nueva Chicago is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.04.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	2:2 ✺
10.04.22	Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Nueva Chicago - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
28.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLTT
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
11.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Deportivo Madryn - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
28.03.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.19	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1
19.02.18	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1
09.06.17	Santamarina de Tandil - Nueva Chicago	0:0
12.11.16	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0
Copa Argentina
29.07.16	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	0:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.03.16	Santamarina de Tandil - Nueva Chicago	0:2

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