Match Info

Date: 9 May 2022, Monday


	Santamarina de Tandil		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.95
	4.4	3.1	1.85
	4.6	2.9	1.86
	4.2	3.1	1.84
	4.95	3.17	1.88
	4.5	2.88	1.88
	5.15	2.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.08)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)	1.87 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
20.1%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Maipú
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

34.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

34.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santamarina de Tandil's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Maipú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santamarina de Tandil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Maipú: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Santamarina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Maipú is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Deportivo Maipú is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.22	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
23.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
11.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Deportivo Madryn - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLTT
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
24.04.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTWW

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