Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Independiente Petroleros		Racing

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.57	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.71
	5.4	3.7	1.58
	5.81	3.95	1.58
	5.2	3.8	1.67	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.57	Watch
	6.16	4.07	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (4.56)	3.87 ↑ (3.7)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
17.2%

Draw
24.3%

Racing
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

25.1%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

25.5%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Independiente Petroleros - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Racing (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 5. Palma L. 3. Eduardo 32. Leanos H. 6. Rojas D. 7. Cardozo R. (C) 93. Willie 19. Cristaldo G. 10. Thomaz 23. Rivas R.	25. Cambeses F. (C) 34. Rubio T. 18. Pardo F. 23. Colombo N. 19. Rodriguez I. 36. Zuculini B. 8. Forneris A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 44. Sosa G. 7. Vergara D. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
88. Adelan 9. Cristaldo J. E. 39. Grass P. 11. Lutkowski R. 20. Mercado A. 13. Montenegro L. 16. Montero R. 27. Navarro D. 4. Rodriguez F. 50. Vargas D. 12. Vera J. (G) 99. Wagner Pinote	4. Cannavo E. 17. Conechny T. 3. Di Cesare M. 24. Fernandez A. 2. Garcia A. 58. Perez T. 14. Pizarro D. 20. Rodriguez B. 28. Solari S. 13. Sosa S. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 11. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Thiago Leitao	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', Rojas D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽, Forneris A. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Sosa G. (A),
45+6', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 2, Thomaz (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leanos H. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
58', Rojas D. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
63', Cristaldo G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
66', Sosa G. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
66', Adrian Martinez ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
66', Vergara D. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
75', Thomaz ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
76', Cardozo R. ↓, Wagner Pinote ↑,
76', Rubio T. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
81', Zuculini B. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
82', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
88', Cannavo E. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Fernandez A. ⚽, Zaracho M. (A),

Preview

Ind Petroleros is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of home games.

In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Petroleros - the odds 4.56 are the expected chance of winning is 20.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.03.26	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	0:1 penalties ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
21.02.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.26	Independiente - Racing	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
28.03.26	Racing - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Belgrano - Racing	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Racing - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWT

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