Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.29	2.9	3	Watch
	2.41	3.11	3.31
	2.38	3.04	3.17	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.33	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.29	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	3.1 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
39.6%

Draw
30.6%

Racing Montevideo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 21. Prieto K. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 15. Viacava J. 16. Alvarez J. 27. Juan Jorge 45. Ginella F. 18. Soria A. 59. Montoya W. 7. Soldano F. 19. Abreu D.	25. Amade L. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 14. Brazionis 5. Monzon L. 6. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 24. Cairus F. 7. Varela J. (C) 15. Caceres M. 16. Da Silva E. 33. Sosa S. 77. Tomatis B.
Substitutes
8. Altez K. 6. Amaro M. 22. Barco A. 25. Biscayzacu X. 9. Cambon A. 29. Dudok R. 1. Machado L. (G) 13. Marchesini F. 28. Navarro L. 26. Wunsch N.	26. Bosca J. 3. Bueno G. 29. De Lima E. 17. Ferreira M. 20. Kahl A. 12. Machado F. (G) 34. Pereira A. 19. Pinela M. 18. Ramirez S. 11. Viudez P.
Coaches
Navarro A.	Rodriguez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Sosa S. 🟨,
31', Cairus F. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Abreu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Juan Jorge ↓, Barco A. ↑,
59', Abreu D. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
63', Cairus F. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
63', Caceres M. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
68', Cotugno G. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
76', Soria A. 🟥,
79', Soldano F. ↓, Amaro M. ↑,
79', Montoya W. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
79', Varela J. ↓, Viudez P. ↑,
80', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
84', Prieto K. ↓, Marchesini F. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, De los Santos G. ⚽,
88', Brazionis 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 0.

Peterborough has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kingston is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kingston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kingston is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 57:81 (average 2.9:4.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:39 (average 3.4:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Copa Libertadores
11.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Monagas	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.25	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.25	Monagas - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
21.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
21.01.25	Racing Montevideo - Colón	0:1 penalties ✺
13.01.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.12.24	Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
24.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.24	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	1:2
22.06.24	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1
02.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2
10.11.23	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	3:0
03.04.23	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Uruguay Copa
07.09.22	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1

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