Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Moja TV
Brazil	11:30	Disney+
Chile	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	15:30	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV
France	15:30	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	15:30	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	20:00	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	16:30	Sport 2
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	09:30	DirecTV Sports
Poland	15:30	TVP Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid VIP
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 3
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	15:30	M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	15:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	17:30	Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	16:30	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	14:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Racing Santander		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.93
	3.75	3.75	1.98	Watch
	3.59	3.65	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.79	3.82	1.92	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	3.68 ↑ (3.48)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
25.4%

Draw
25.7%

Celta de Vigo
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.1%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Racing Santander - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Celta will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 17. Michelin C. 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 3. Garcia S. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 19. Karrikaburu J.	1. Villar I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 3. Mingueza O. 33. Sotelo H. 8. Beltran F. 30. Alvarez H. 12. Gonzalez A. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P.
Substitutes
9. Arana J. 20. Camara S. 34. Diaz D. 13. Ezkieta J. (G) 40. Garcia M. 12. Gueye M. 7. Junior L. 18. Manu 4. Moreno P. 32. Salinas J. 15. Sangalli M.	17. Bamba J. 5. Carreira S. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 13. Guaita V. (G) 7. Iglesias B. 16. Jailson 29. Lago Y. 6. Moriba I. 25. Rodriguez D. 19. Swedberg W.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Duran P. (A),
31', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
32', Mingueza O. 🟨,
35', Mantilla A. 🟥,
40', Beltran F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alvarez H. ↓, Cervi F. ↑,
46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Manu ↑,
46', Mingueza O. ↓, Carreira S. ↑,
57', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
64', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
66', Duran P. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
69', Sotelo H. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. (Own goal),
72', Sotelo H. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
76', Arana J. 🟨,
77', Michelin C. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
78', Garcia S. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
85', Martin A. ↓, Moreno P. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Castro J. (Own goal),
90', Swedberg W. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
90+5', Vicente I. 🟨,
90+5', Iglesias B. 🟨,

Preview

Racing is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Celta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Celta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Granada - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Salamanca - Celta de Vigo	0:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

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