Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Poland	TVP Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Racing Santander		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.93
	3.75	3.75	1.98	Watch
	3.59	3.65	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.79	3.82	1.92	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	3.68 ↑ (3.48)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
25.4%

Draw
25.7%

Celta de Vigo
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.1%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Racing Santander - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Celta will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 17. Michelin C. 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 3. Garcia S. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 19. Karrikaburu J.	1. Villar I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 3. Mingueza O. 33. Sotelo H. 8. Beltran F. 30. Alvarez H. 12. Gonzalez A. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P.
Substitutes
9. Arana J. 20. Camara S. 34. Diaz D. 13. Ezkieta J. (G) 40. Garcia M. 12. Gueye M. 7. Junior L. 18. Manu 4. Moreno P. 32. Salinas J. 15. Sangalli M.	17. Bamba J. 5. Carreira S. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 13. Guaita V. (G) 7. Iglesias B. 16. Jailson 29. Lago Y. 6. Moriba I. 25. Rodriguez D. 19. Swedberg W.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Duran P. (A),
31', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
32', Mingueza O. 🟨,
35', Mantilla A. 🟥,
40', Beltran F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alvarez H. ↓, Cervi F. ↑,
46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Manu ↑,
46', Mingueza O. ↓, Carreira S. ↑,
57', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
64', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
66', Duran P. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
69', Sotelo H. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. (Own goal),
72', Sotelo H. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
76', Arana J. 🟨,
77', Michelin C. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
78', Garcia S. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
85', Martin A. ↓, Moreno P. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Castro J. (Own goal),
90', Swedberg W. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
90+5', Vicente I. 🟨,
90+5', Iglesias B. 🟨,

Preview

Racing is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Celta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Celta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Granada - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Salamanca - Celta de Vigo	0:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches