Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.7	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.8	3.6	3.95
	1.87	3.86	4.13
	1.93	3.66	3.67	Watch
	1.88	3.79	4.09	Watch
	1.87	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.65 ↓ (3.72)	3.93 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
50.5%

Draw
25.7%

Málaga
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Racing Santander - Málaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Racing (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 21. Ramon P. 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 10. Vicente I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.	1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 9. Chupe 37. Rodriguez R.
Substitutes
13. Andreev P. (G) 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 3. Garcia M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 4. Manu 17. Michelin C. 19. Puerta G. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 36. Sergio M.	7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 25. Dorrio J. 12. Dotor C. 17. Jauregi E. 13. Lopez C. (G) 35. Ochoa A. 31. Rafita 36. Recio A. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Montero J. 🟥,
45+2', Sangalli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
57', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
60', Lobete J. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Sangalli M. (A),
67', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
67', Aldasoro A. ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
75', Chupe ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
75', Garcia V. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
82', Gabilondo J. ↓, Rafita ↑,
82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
86', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
86', Vicente I. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Málaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Puerta G. (Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Luismi (Face Injury) Merino I. (International duty) Munoz J. (Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.25	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Córdoba - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:4 ✺
07.09.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Racing Santander - Ceuta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTLWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Huesca - Málaga	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Málaga - Granada	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	2:1
23.11.24	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:0
05.03.23	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:1
01.10.22	Racing Santander - Málaga	0:0
23.02.20	Málaga - Racing Santander	2:0
17.08.19	Racing Santander - Málaga	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
09.04.12	Málaga - Racing Santander	3:0

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