Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Racing Santander		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.32	3.3	3	Watch
	2.36	3.3	3.3
	2.32	3.27	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	2.32	3.38	3.07	Watch
	2.32	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
41.3%

Draw
28.5%

Real Oviedo
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Racing Santander - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Oviedo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 40. Garcia M. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.	13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 3. Alhassane R. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Moyano F. 9. Alemao 23. Hassan H. 8. Cazorla S. (C)
Substitutes
3. Garcia S. 16. Gonzalez R. 12. Gueye M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Junior L. 19. Karrikaburu J. 18. Manu 23. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 24. Montero J. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 15. Sangalli M. 14. Zenitagoia E.	1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 35. Falah O. 15. Luengo O. 30. Marco Esteban 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 10. Portillo F. 20. Seoane J. 19. Vinas F.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Paunovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Michelin C. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Calvo D. ⚽, Cazorla S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sibo K. 🟨,
47', Alhassane R. 🟨,
56', Vidal N. 🟨,
60', Arana J. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
60', Rodriguez P. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
60', Vencedor U. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
69', Sibo K. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
69', Moyano F. ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Garcia M. ⚽,
72', Michelin C. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
74', Cazorla S. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
74', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
78', Mantilla A. 🟨,
81', Alemao ↓, Pomares C. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oviedo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Racing could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knock)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Racing won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
04.05.25	Cartagena - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Levante - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWTL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.25	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Córdoba - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:3
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:1
10.12.23	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	2:2
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.23	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:0
28.08.22	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	0:1

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