Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Sancho (Cordoba)

Referee: Gil J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Racing de Córdoba		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	1.94	3.05	4.2	Watch
	1.99	3.06	4.5
	1.98	3	4.4	Watch
	1.91	3	4.33
	1.96	3.02	4.14
	1.97	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	4.22 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing de Córdoba
47.4%

Draw
30.6%

Güemes
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

29.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Racing de Córdoba - Güemes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Abello D. 3. Fernandez L. (C) 11. Gutierrez M. 5. Churchi S. 8. Machado M. 10. Diaz G. 7. Vignolo J. 9. Chavarria P.	1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Machuca B. 2. Juarez W. 6. Monserrat N. 3. Lopez F. 8. Arevalos N. 5. Griffa E. 10. Gerez M. 11. Federico T. 7. Alvarez M. 9. Albertengo M.
Substitutes
12. Maslovski M. (G) 18. Monti L. 13. Olivera W. 17. Oyola A. I. 14. Perales V. 15. Rivero B. 19. Sanchez G. 16. Sanchez N. 20. Villegas L.	12. Acosta M. (G) 14. Bettini M. 17. Fissore M. 13. Gonzalez F. 19. Martinez T. 20. Palacios P. 15. Papa G. 18. Rojas T. 16. Veliz D.
Coaches
Arzubialde H.	Martel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Machado M. ⚽,
27', Albarracin M. 🟨,
31', Arevalos N. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Chavarria P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arevalos N. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Monserrat N. (Pen),
59', Gerez M. ↓, Palacios P. ↑,
62', Gutierrez M. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
70', Abello D. ↓, Perales V. ↑,
75', Machuca B. ↓, Bettini M. ↑,
75', Lopez F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Griffa E. ⚽,
89', Palacios P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Güemes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing de Córdoba is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing de Córdoba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Racing de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.25	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Club Almagro - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTTL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.25	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Colegiales - Güemes	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Güemes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	All Boys - Güemes	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Güemes - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.08.24	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:0
25.03.24	Güemes - Racing de Córdoba	0:1

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