Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Raków Częstochowa		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.40	3.60
	1.78	3.45	3.35
	1.00	12.98	25.00	Watch
	1.82	3.30	3.45
	1.85	3.74	3.84	Watch
	1.84	3.40	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)	5.05 ↑ (3.8)	7.12 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
63.7%

Draw
21.3%

Piast Gliwice
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Piast Gliwice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Piast Gliwice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zolneczko W. (G)
19. Ameyaw M.
18. Brunes J.
10. Kochergin V.
. Kwiatkowski O.
9. Makuch P.
2. Mosor A.
26. Otieno E.
6. Repka O.
4. Svarnas S.
7. Tudor F.
Substitutes
22. Abraham O.
. Basse A.
5. Bulat M.
. Karic T. (G)
44. Mircetic B.
. Mucha O.
21. Napieraj J.
. Nikodem C.
. Pawlowski M.
8. Pienko T.
25. Racovitan B.
20. Silva J. C.
. Zadlo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Pawlowski M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Raków won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.08%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
02.05.26	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.05.26	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	1:3
22.11.25	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	1:3
08.03.25	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	0:3
30.08.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	0:1
Polish Cup
27.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	3:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.02.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	3:1
11.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	2:1

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