The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 49.9%
Draw 27.7%
Arka Gdynia 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
27.4%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
28.7%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
18.7%
6.2%
Piast Gliwice - Arka Gdynia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Arka (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Piast Gliwice will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Holec D. (G) 28. Borowski F. 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. 36. Lewicki J. 10. Dziczek P. (C) 98. Lokilo J. 17. Boisgard Q. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 11. Sanca L. 7. Felix J.
1. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Navarro M. 3. Szota S. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 6. Perea L. 10. Nguiamba A. 7. Kubiak O. 37. Kerk S. 31. Rusyn N. 19. Gutkovskis V.
Substitutes
63. Barkovskiy G. 6. Chrapek M. 9. Dalmau A. 3. Fikaj E. 70. Katsantonis A. 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 33. Szymanski K. (G) 80. Vallejo H.
33. Abramowicz D. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 23. Hermoso K. 35. Jakubczyk K. 11. Kocyla D. 27. Oliveira J. 22. Rzuchowski M. 21. Szysz P. 77. Weglarz D. (G) 4. Zator D.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.
Banasik D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
8', Dziczek P. (Penalty Awarded),
10', 1 - 0, Boisgard Q. ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
23', Kubiak O. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
41', Lewicki J. 🟨,
45', Gutkovskis V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Nguiamba A. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Borowski F. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Kocyla D. ⚽, Gutkovskis V. (A),
60', Lewicki J. ↓, Fikaj E. ↑,
60', Sanca L. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
68', Boisgard Q. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
68', Lokilo J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
68', Navarro M. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
68', Rusyn N. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
69', Dziczek P. 🟨,
78', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Drapinski I. ⚽, Chrapek M. (A),
82', Perea L. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Vallejo H. ⚽, Chrapek M. (A),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Piast is the team to beat.
There will not play in Piast: Czerwinski J.
(Yellow Cards)
Plach F.
(Knee Injury)
Twumasi E.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Arka: Weglarz D.
(Back Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Piast won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).