Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Raków Częstochowa		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7	Watch
	1.4	4.65	6.7
	1.52	4.49	5.78
	1.42	4.94	7.03	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.42	4.78	7.36	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.29)	4.49 ↓ (5)	6.43 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
64.6%

Draw
20.8%

Termalica Nieciecza
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

17.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Zych O. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 2. Mosor A. 19. Ameyaw M. 23. Struski K. 5. Bulat M. 20. Silva J. C. 9. Makuch P. 18. Brunes J. 10. Lopez I.	1. Chovan A. (G) 32. Matysik M. 2. Kopacz B. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 27. Boboc R. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 86. Strzalek I. 6. Wolski M. 13. Kubica K. 19. Durdov I. 7. Fassbender M.
Substitutes
22. Abraham O. 11. Adriano 24. Arsenic Z. 39. Brusberg I. 31. Czeremski D. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 35. Ilenic M. 44. Mircetic B. 8. Pienko T. 17. Rocha L. 1. Trelowski K. (G)	17. Biniek D. 23. Guerrero S. 21. Hilbrycht D. 29. Isik G. 26. Jakubik W. 9. Jimenez J. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 8. Kurzawa R. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 53. Trubeha A. 25. Zapolnik K.
Coaches
Tomczyk L.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Wolski M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Lopez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
46', Durdov I. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
60', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
61', Silva J. C. ↓, Adriano ↑,
61', Makuch P. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
69', Putivtsev A. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
69', Lopez I. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
77', Fassbender M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
79', Kubica K. 🟨,
81', Ameyaw M. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
81', Brunes J. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
82', Boboc R. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Raków: Dawidowicz P. (Inactive) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Repka O. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Lopez I. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rakow	10	1	0	9	13:25	-12	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.02.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Wisła Płock - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Raków Częstochowa - Bačka Topola	Canceled ✺
23.01.26	Raków Częstochowa - Vojvodina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTL?W
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	8:1 ✺
16.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Spartak Subotica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa	2:3
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza	1:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.04.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa	0:3
Polish Cup
01.12.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.10.21	Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza	3:2
Polish Cup
30.10.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa	0:2
Polish Division 1
17.03.19	Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0

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