Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)


	Rampla Juniors		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.65	2.7
	3.12	2.8	2.59
				Watch
	2.75	2.62	2.8
	2.93	3.06	2.5
	2.15	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.25)	2.83 ↓ (3)	2.74 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
33.9%

Draw
32.5%

La Luz
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rampla Juniors's form might have worsened.

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rampla Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rampla Juniors - La Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Tabo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Tabo C. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Tabo C. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.06.25	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Colón Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
03.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.06.25	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Central Español - La Luz	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	La Luz - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Rentistas - La Luz	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	La Luz - Artigas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.03.25	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	0:0
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	2:3 penalties
12.10.22	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	2:3
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.22	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	0:3
29.05.22	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	2:0

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