Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rampla Juniors		Rentistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	2.88	2.72
	2.61	2.85	2.85
	2.96	2.87	2.57	Watch
	2.51	2.93	2.7
	3	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.99)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	2.63 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
33.7%

Draw
31.4%

Rentistas
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

29.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rentistas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rentistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rampla Juniors - Rentistas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rentistas (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rentistas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 2.

Rampla Juniors is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Rentistas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rentistas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Rampla Juniors - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.09.25	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.25	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Central Español - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Artigas - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	La Luz - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.25	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	1:0
19.11.23	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	2:0
09.07.23	Rampla Juniors - Rentistas	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.04.15	Rampla Juniors - Rentistas	1:0
11.10.14	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	0:2
19.05.12	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	N/A

Rampla Juniors - Rentistas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide