Match Info

Date: 17 February 2022, Thursday


	Rapid Wien		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.75
	2.5	3.25	2.7
	2.55	3.35	2.8
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.56	3.49	2.82
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.57	3.62	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.24)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	2.8 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
38.1%

Draw
28%

Vitesse
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapid Wien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rapid Wien - Vitesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Rapid has a chance of round of 16 (42%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Vitesse has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 49, small importance 11, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Rapid is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitesse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rapid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Rapid have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
11.02.22	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.02.22	Rapid Wien - Hartberg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.01.22	Rapid Wien - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Rapid Wien - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
19.01.22	Cracovia - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
12.02.22	Vitesse - PSV Eindhoven	0:5 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.22	Ajax - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
05.02.22	Twente - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Vitesse - Groningen	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.01.22	Vitesse - DVS33 Ermelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

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