Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	Nova Sports
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Ajax		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.3	6.5	8	Watch
	1.3	6	8.75
	1.29	5.9	9.3	Watch
	1.31	6.6	8.83
	1.29	6.64	8.93
	1.22	5.8	9.5	Watch
	1.28	6.1	9.2	Watch
	1.3	6.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	6.22 ↑ (5.54)	8.89 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
74%

Draw
15.3%

Vitesse
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

17%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

16.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	4%	44%

Ajax - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Vitesse will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ramaj D. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 2. Rensch D. 4. Hato J. 42. Martha A. 33. Tahirovic B. 8. Taylor K. 23. Berghuis S. 38. Hlynsson K. 7. Bergwijn S. (C) 10. Akpom Ch.	1. Room E. (G) 6. Oroz D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. (C) 15. Hendriks R. 13. Cornelisse E. 21. Tielemans M. 17. Kozlowski K. 20. Meulensteen M. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Hamulic S. 7. Boutrah A.
Substitutes
30. Avila G. 11. Forbs C. 39. Godts M. 18. Medic J. 19. Mikautadze G. 1. Rulli G. (G) 17. Salah-Eddine A. 51. Setford C. (G) 25. Sosa B.	2. Arcus C. 55. Bramel T. (G) 25. de Regt G. 22. Domgjoni T. 31. Schubert M. (G) 43. Van Zwam G. 58. Visser A. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.
Coaches
van 't Schip J.	Sturing E.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 3.

Recent matches Ajax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitesse is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ajax is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Bergwijn S. (Injury) van den Boomen B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitesse: Buitink T. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Mica Pinto (Knee Injury) van Ginkel M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Illness) Gorter J. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) Misehouy G. (Knock) Rulli G. (Shoulder Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vitesse: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Propper D. (Knee Injury)

Last 27 head-to-head matches Ajax won 16 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 59-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
12.11.23	Almere City - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Ajax - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
05.11.23	Ajax - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
02.11.23	Ajax - Volendam	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
11.11.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	5:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Groene Ster - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.10.23	Vitesse - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Feyenoord - Vitesse	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
26.02.23	Vitesse - Ajax	1:2
09.11.22	Ajax - Vitesse	2:2
15.05.22	Vitesse - Ajax	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.22	Ajax - Vitesse	5:0
Dutch Eredivisie
29.08.21	Ajax - Vitesse	5:0
16.05.21	Vitesse - Ajax	1:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.04.21	Ajax - Vitesse	2:1

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