Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 33

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Vitesse		Groningen

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.41	5	7
	1.42	4.5	7
	1.46	4.97	6.87
	1.4	4.4	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.7	6.85	Watch
	1.45	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.68 ↓ (4.85)	7.12 ↑ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
66.3%

Draw
20.3%

Groningen
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Groningen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Vitesse - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Groningen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vitesse has the most likely position - 13 (36.31%), project points - 36, currently - 34, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.

Groningen has the most likely position - 17 (83.58%), project points - 20, currently - 18, already of relegated.

This event has quality 47, very small importance 0, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 3.

Vitesse is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Groningen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vitesse is absolute favorite.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 45-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.23	Vitesse - Cambuur	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Vitesse - Excelsior	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
08.04.23	Vitesse - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTWW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
16.05.23	Groningen - Ajax	2:3 ✺
07.05.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
25.04.23	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Waalwijk - Groningen	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Groningen - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
04.09.22	Groningen - Vitesse	0:1
22.01.22	Vitesse - Groningen	1:3
22.09.21	Groningen - Vitesse	0:1
23.01.21	Vitesse - Groningen	1:0
21.11.20	Groningen - Vitesse	1:1
08.02.20	Groningen - Vitesse	1:0
08.11.19	Vitesse - Groningen	1:2

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