Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.36
	7.75	5	1.31
	7.3	5.15	1.35	Watch
	7.98	5.01	1.37
	6.36	4.47	1.45	Watch
	7.5	4.8	1.3
	7.8	5.3	1.34
	6	5.1	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↑ (6.33)	4.98 ↓ (5)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
12.8%

Draw
18.7%

Lillestrøm SK
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

18.2%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

17.6%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 3. Bonde R. 17. Nordbo S. 16. Sveen O. (C) 27. Osnes-Ringen W. 8. Nelson R. 7. Gonstad J. 24. Aanesland M.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 26. Paintsil Y. 10. Olsen T. 15. Drammeh S.
Substitutes
21. Agyeman Y. 10. Badjie K. 25. Engebakken T. E. 11. Fremstad N. 9. Hustad E. 28. Jensen P. (G) 14. Lynum J. 5. Rotihaug O. 29. Sorum E.	7. Alperud L. 23. Asen G. 33. Diop M. 11. Elkaer F. 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 8. Karlsbakk M. 18. Krygard K. 64. Larsson E.
Coaches
Dent T.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Olsen T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Woxen H. ⚽, Tonnesen K. (A),
63', Osnes-Ringen W. 🟨,
65', Paintsil Y. ↓, Karlsbakk M. ↑,
65', Drammeh S. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
67', Osnes-Ringen W. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
67', Gonstad J. ↓, Hustad E. ↑,
76', Fors V. ↓, Lynum J. ↑,
76', Aanesland M. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
79', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
79', Woxen H. ↓, Krygard K. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Agyeman Y. ⚽, Hustad E. (A),
87', Sveen O. ↓, Fremstad N. ↑,
90+2', Bonde R. 🟨,
90+4', Ranger L. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Raufoss has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lillestrøm is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Raufoss won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.08.25	Åsane - Raufoss	4:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Hønefoss - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Odd - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Raufoss - Lyn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWTL
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Lørenskog - Lillestrøm SK	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Aalesunds	5:1 ✺
06.08.25	Egersund - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Åsane - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	2:1
Club Friendly
18.03.25	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	3:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.10.20	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	2:0
17.08.20	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	2:2
Club Friendly
20.02.14	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	2:4

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