Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio BBVA Bancomer (Monterrey)


	Raya2 Expansión		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.43	3	2.75
	2.65	3.05	2.47
	2.83	3.13	2.69
	2.8	2.88	2.45
	2.6	3.14	2.56	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.41)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.56 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raya2 Expansión
34.3%

Draw
30%

Leones Negros UdeG
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raya2 Expansión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raya2 Expansión's form might have worsened.

Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones Negros UdeG's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raya2 Expansión, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones Negros UdeG, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	31.8%	27.3%

Raya2 Expansión - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raya2 Expansión: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Raya2 Expansión has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Leones Negros UdeG to win the game is with odds 2.91.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raya2 Expansión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Raya2 Expansión won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.09.22	Alacranes de Durango - Raya2 Expansión	3:1 ✺
07.09.22	Dorados - Raya2 Expansión	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Raya2 Expansión - Celaya	2:3 ✺
23.08.22	Atlético La Paz - Raya2 Expansión	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Venados	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.22	Pumas Tabasco - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	2:0 ✺
23.08.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:2 ✺
17.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.03.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Raya2 Expansión	0:0
19.10.21	Raya2 Expansión - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1

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