Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio BBVA Bancomer (Monterrey)

Referee: Perez S. (Mex)


	Raya2 Expansión		Celaya

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.55	2.95	2.6
	2.78	3.04	2.71
	2.7	2.8	2.62
	2.64	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.22)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.64 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raya2 Expansión
34.6%

Draw
31%

Celaya
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

31.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raya2 Expansión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raya2 Expansión's form might have worsened.

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raya2 Expansión, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	38.1%	23.8%

Raya2 Expansión - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Celaya will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raya2 Expansión: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Raya2 Expansión is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celaya is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raya2 Expansión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Raya2 Expansión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.08.22	Atlético La Paz - Raya2 Expansión	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Venados	1:2 ✺
11.08.22	Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
03.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
27.07.22	Tlaxcala - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.08.22	Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora	3:1 ✺
17.08.22	Tlaxcala - Celaya	0:1 ✺
09.08.22	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
02.08.22	Dorados - Celaya	0:1 ✺
26.07.22	Atlético La Paz - Celaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.01.22	Celaya - Raya2 Expansión	2:1
25.08.21	Raya2 Expansión - Celaya	1:0

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