Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Rayo Vallecano		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2	2.95	4.25
	2	3	4.3	Watch
	1.99	2.95	4.2
	2.03	3.08	4.74
	2	3	4.2	Watch
	2.03	2.97	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)	3.01 ↓ (3.01)	4.35 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
47%

Draw
31.4%

Fuenlabrada
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	7.3%	10.9%

Rayo Vallecano - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (45 of 55 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.63% – 92.01%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 7).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Fuenlabrada has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.20	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
21.10.20	Fuenlabrada - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Fuenlabrada - Castellón	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Girona - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.06.20	Rayo Vallecano - Fuenlabrada	1:0
28.09.19	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano	2:2
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano	0:1

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