Match Info

Premier League

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Rayon Sports		Etincelles

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.62	3.1	5.5
	1.56	3.38	6.06
	1.53	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)	5.77 ↓ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayon Sports
57.1%

Draw
27.3%

Etincelles
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.1%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayon Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Rayon Sports - Etincelles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayon Sports won 3.

Rayon Sports has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Etincelles is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rayon Sports is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rayon Sports won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayon Sports won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayon Sports FC
Rwanda Premier League
19.12.25	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Bugesera - Rayon Sports	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Rayon Sports - Musanze	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Gicumbi - Rayon Sports	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Rayon Sports - Kigali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWTL
- Etincelles FC
Rwanda Premier League
20.12.25	Etincelles - Police	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Etincelles - Al-Merreikh	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Musanze - Etincelles	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles	4:1 ✺
02.12.25	APR - Etincelles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
27.04.25	Etincelles - Rayon Sports	1:2
09.11.24	Rayon Sports - Etincelles	1:0
04.04.24	Rayon Sports - Etincelles	1:3
25.11.23	Etincelles - Rayon Sports	1:1
05.03.23	Rayon Sports - Etincelles	2:0
11.12.22	Etincelles - Rayon Sports	3:2
22.05.22	Rayon Sports - Etincelles	3:1

Rayon Sports - Etincelles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide