Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.28	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.23	3.57
	2.86	2.95	2.63	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.3	3.28	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.17)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Reading
40.6%

Draw
29.7%

AFC Wimbledon
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Reading - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Reading (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wimbledon (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 3 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Stevens J. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 22. Stickland M. (C) 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 36. Ryan J. 6. Fraser L. 29. Doyle K. 14. Rushesha T. 32. Lane P. 43. Okine-Peters J. 19. Garcia A.	20. McDonnell J. (G) 15. Bauer P. 26. Harbottle R. 33. Ogundere I. 30. Nkeng R. 8. Maycock C. 4. Reeves J. (C) 29. Sasu A. 16. Hackford A. 7. Orsi-Dadomo D. 9. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
39. Ahmed A. 12. Burns F. 28. Camara M. 4. Elliott B. 5. Jacob M. 11. Kyerewaa D. 20. O'Mahony M. 48. Rowley M. (G) 47. Spencer S.	2. Asiimwe N. 1. Bishop N. (G) 11. Browne M. 19. Foyo O. 21. Hippolyte M. 6. Johnson R. 10. Kelly J. 3. Seddon S. 12. Smith A.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Fraser L. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽, Reeves J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lane P. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
58', Sasu A. 🟨,
65', Abrefa K. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
66', Okine-Peters J. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
66', Bauer P. ↓, Johnson R. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Camara M. ⚽,
71', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
71', Nkeng R. ↓, Seddon S. ↑,
71', Hackford A. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
79', Rushesha T. ↓, Elliott B. ↑,
79', Ryan J. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
79', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1.

Reading has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wimbledon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Reading is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
23.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	2:2 ✺
20.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Reading	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Portsmouth - Reading	1:2 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Reading - Huddersfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTLWL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
23.08.25	AFC Wimbledon - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
09.08.25	AFC Wimbledon - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	1:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
19.07.22	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	0:2
07.07.18	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	4:2
23.07.16	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	2:0
14.07.12	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	N/A

Upcoming Matches