Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	4	4.4
	1.68	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.18	4.77
	1.68	4.02	4.53
	1.7	3.9	4.8
	1.69	4.15	4.63	Watch
	1.66	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	4.03 ↑ (3.88)	4.64 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
56.2%

Draw
23.4%

Crawley Town
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

23.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Reading - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Reading will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Button D. (G) 5. Craig M. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 4. Elliott B. 29. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 37. Akande A. 10. Smith S. 7. Knibbs H.	1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 5. Barker C. 20. Mukena J. 7. Forster H. 23. Ibrahim B. 6. Anderson M. 19. Kelly J. 18. Quitirna A. 10. Darcy R. (C) 9. Swan W.
Substitutes
20. Campbell C. 6. Dean H. 48. Rowley M. (G) 14. Rushesha T. 47. Spencer S. 26. Tuma B. 19. Wareham J.	4. Bragg C. 12. Camara P. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 8. Holohan G. 11. Roles J. 29. Showunmi T. 17. Tanimu B.
Coaches
Selles R.	Elliot R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Mbengue A. S. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Forster H. ⚽, Anderson M. (A),
36', Anderson M. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Knibbs H. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Savage C. ⚽,
67', Forster H. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
69', Garcia A. ↓, Dean H. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
74', Anderson M. ↓, Camara P. ↑,
78', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
79', Akande A. ↓, Tuma B. ↑,
80', Elliott B. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
80', Smith S. ↓, Spencer S. ↑,
83', Swan W. ↓, Tanimu B. ↑,
83', Mukena J. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
84', Quitirna A. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
87', Camara P. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crawley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Crawley have a series of home games.

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
05.10.24	Rotherham United - Reading	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Reading - Burton Albion	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Reading - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bolton Wanderers - Reading	5:2 ✺
14.09.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL
- Crawley Town
English League One
12.10.24	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:5 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:4 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
01.10.24	Crawley Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Crawley Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.15	Crawley Town - Reading	1:0
English FA Cup
05.01.13	Crawley Town - Reading	1:3

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