Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Adolfo Suárez (Avila)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Spain	M+ LaLiga 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Real Ávila		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.37	Watch
	6.9	4.95	1.35
	7.37	4.98	1.38
	6.94	5.38	1.35	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.4	Watch
	7	4.9	1.45	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.92 ↓ (7.85)	4.89 ↓ (5.49)	1.39 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
13.5%

Draw
19.1%

Rayo Vallecano
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

16.8%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Real Ávila - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Real Ávila will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Real Ávila (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Ávila (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez S. (G) 23. Urbina G. L. 22. Garrido Diaz F. 5. Pascual C. 2. Doumbia I. 12. Perez C. 16. Ruiz M. 6. Vitolo 7. Runy 9. Lorenzo D. 30. Sarr M.	1. Cardenas D. (G) 20. Balliu I. 5. Luiz Felipe 33. Vertrouwd J. 15. Gumbau G. 6. Ciss P. 23. Valentin O. 10. Camello S. 28. Becerra S. 21. Perez F. 7. Palazon I.
Substitutes
14. Camero M. 10. Carrion A. 29. Fall B. 4. Lauture S. 1. Lopez O. (G) 20. Luz P. 17. Marquitos 21. Moreno A. 3. Ngaah P. 19. Serrano Iranzo G. 8. Sisse F.	13. Batalla A. (G) 3. Chavarria P. 19. de Frutos J. 18. Garcia A. 24. Lejeune F. 17. Lopez U. 27. Lozano S. 32. Mendy N. 40. Molina A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 31. Roman M.
Coaches
Garcia Puig M.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Pascual C. ⚽,
53', Vitolo 🟨,
59', Gumbau G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
59', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
59', Camello S. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
59', Becerra S. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
62', Lorenzo D. ↓, Serrano Iranzo G. ↑,
62', Sarr M. ↓, Carrion A. ↑,
71', Perez C. ↓, Sisse F. ↑,
71', Valentin O. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
82', Runy ↓, Ngaah P. ↑,
83', Ruiz M. ↓, Lauture S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Palazon I. ⚽, Ciss P. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
96', Ciss P. ↓, Lejeune F. ↑,
113', Sisse F. 🟨,
118', Pascual C. ↓, Camero M. ↑,
120', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, de Frutos J. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Ávila - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Salamanca - Real Ávila	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sarriana - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTTW

Upcoming Matches