Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.82	3.95
	2.02	2.79	4.29	Watch
	2	2.75	4
	1.99	3.13	4.06
	1.96	2.85	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	2.87 ↓ (3.09)	4.13 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
46%

Draw
31.9%

UD Ourense
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

The chances for UD Ourense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for UD Ourense aligns with the current prediction.

Real Ávila - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rufo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, Rufo ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Real Ávila is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Ávila won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
21.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWT
- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.01.26	UD Ourense - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sámano - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	UD Ourense - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	UD Ourense - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	UD Ourense - Real Ávila	1:1

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