Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Avilés		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.02	3.2	3.5
	2.03	3.5	3.47
	2	3.52	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3	3.4
	2.03	3.33	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)	3.43 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
45.3%

Draw
28%

Cacereño
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Real Avilés - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Almodovar N. (G) 2. Ortega G. 5. Babin J. 15. Chukwuma E. 20. Campabadal E. 14. Cayarga B. 8. Bautista K. 23. Rivera C. 22. Isi Ros 9. Santamaria A. 11. Rubio R.	13. Quevedo A. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 21. Alonso J. 3. Barrio J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 15. Monerris A. 10. Hyjek J. 6. Conesa N. 5. de Diego J. 9. Gomez D. 20. Palacin P.
Substitutes
17. Bari Q. 10. Cueto J. 3. Diaz V. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 18. Gete A. 16. Gomez A. 12. Grigore R. 7. Luis Alcalde 19. Poquet N. 21. Uzkudun A.	17. Berlanga M. 4. Crespo A. 7. Fernandez I. 12. Kaptoum W. 1. Nieves D. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R. 24. Valdera R. 25. Vazquez K.
Coaches
Vidal D.	Cobos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Hernandez E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Conesa N. ⚽,
45+3', Babin J. 🟨,
45+3', Barrio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Conesa N. 🟨,
58', Rubio R. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
58', Santamaria A. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
66', Palacin P. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
66', Hernandez E. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
73', Conesa N. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
78', Cayarga B. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
78', Rivera C. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
88', Barrio J. ↓, Crespo A. ↑,
88', Monerris A. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
89', Isi Ros ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
90+1', Alonso J. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Real Avilés is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cacereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Avilés could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cacereño - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Tenerife - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLTTL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.03.26	Cacereño - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Ferrol - Cacereño	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cacereño - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Mérida AD - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cacereño - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.11.25	Cacereño - Real Avilés	0:4

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