Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Avilés		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.68	3.05	2.58
	2.83	3.05	2.66
	2.69	3.04	2.69	Watch
	2.69	2.91	2.53
	2.71	2.85	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.61)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
33.8%

Draw
30.8%

Celta de Vigo B
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. (C) 12. Granero B. 26. Carracedo O. 17. Bari Q. 8. Bautista K. 18. Gete A. 14. Cayarga B. 9. Santamaria A. 11. Rubio R.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 6. Meixus P. (C) 4. Vazquez J. 26. Rodriguez A. 23. Miller G. 5. Burcio H. 16. Capdevila A. 14. Oliveras J. 7. Gonzalez H. 17. Somuah B. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 15. Chukwuma E. 10. Cueto J. 3. Diaz V. 23. El Arbaoui Y. 7. Hernandez R. 2. Ortega G. 19. Poquet N. 25. Raul 4. Rodriguez J.	8. Antanon A. 31. Arceo C. 11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 2. Gavian P. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 19. Marcos O. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 20. Tarba I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 🟨,
12', 🟨,
13', Granero B. 🟨,
15', 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Babin J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟨,
58', Bautista K. 🟨,
59', Miller G. ↓, Gavian P. ↑,
59', Somuah B. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
68', 🟨,
72', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ndiaye S. M. ↑,
72', Gonzalez H. ↓, Marcos O. ↑,
73', Granero B. ↓, Chukwuma E. ↑,
78', Bari Q. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
80', Capdevila A. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
85', Santamaria A. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Marcos O. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent performances by Real Avilés have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celta de Vigo B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Avilés won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.25	Mérida AD - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cacereño - Real Avilés	0:4 ✺
02.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	4:3 ✺
01.11.25	Osasuna B - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.03.15	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	2:0
02.11.14	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
02.02.14	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	1:3
22.09.13	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	4:0

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