Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	1.9
	3.9	3	1.96
	4.43	3.09	1.93
	4.27	3.08	1.89	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2
	4.18	3.14	1.91
	3.9	3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.89)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	1.94 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
22.5%

Draw
30.3%

Numancia
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Real Avilés - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Avilés will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Numancia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Numancia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Escobedo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTWW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Numancia - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWL

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