Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 5

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mosquera (Mosquera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play


	Real Cundinamarca		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3.05	2.98	2.35	Watch
	3.26	2.99	2.41
	3.5	2.97	2.26
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.15	2.84	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.07)	2.93 ↑ (2.89)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
29%

Draw
31.6%

Rionegro Águilas
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

31.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Real Cundinamarca - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Negrete C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Ricaurte A. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Salcedo J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In recent matches, Real Cundinamarca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rionegro Águilas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Cundinamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Copa
17.05.26	Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Real Cundinamarca - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cundinamarca	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWTL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Copa
21.05.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Rionegro Águilas	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Rionegro Águilas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTWT

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