Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Real Estelí		Real Madriz

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	11
	1.11	7.1	14.5	Watch
	1.11	8.33	17.07
	1.12	7.98	18.3	Watch
	1.11	8	19
	1.1	9.55	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.2)	7.99 ↑ (6.07)	16.65 ↑ (12.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
82.8%

Draw
11.6%

Real Madriz
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

15.3%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Estelí's performance.

Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Real Estelí - Real Madriz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Estelí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.25 - Real Estelí (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Estelí (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 4.

Real Estelí is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Madriz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Estelí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Estelí is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:10. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.6:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.02.26	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	1:1 ✺
18.02.26	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	0:4 ✺
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Managua - Real Estelí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWTW
- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
23.02.26	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	3:3 ✺
19.02.26	Real Madriz - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
17.01.26	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	0:3
21.09.25	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	1:3
19.03.22	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	4:0
05.02.22	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	0:0
10.10.21	Real Madriz - Real Estelí	1:2
07.08.21	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	3:0
31.03.21	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	0:1

Upcoming Matches