Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Real Jaén		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.55	5.5
	1.59	3.43	6.07
	1.43	3.80	7.55	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6.05
	1.42	3.8	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)	3.64 ↓ (3.88)	6.59 ↓ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
60.8%

Draw
25.3%

Almeria B
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

22.4%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Real Jaén - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Martos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Burgos I. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2.

Jaén is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Almeria B has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Jaén is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Jaén will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Puente Genil - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Real Jaén - Melilla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Antoniano - Real Jaén	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTWWW
- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Xerez CD - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Minera - Almeria B	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.06.24	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:2
02.06.24	Almeria B - Real Jaén	2:2
21.04.24	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1
03.12.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:1
19.03.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:0
27.11.22	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1
28.03.22	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:5

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