Match Info

Date: 6 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	TV8 Turkey
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Celtic		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.65
	4.6	4.1	1.68
	4.9	4.2	1.71
	4.7	4.4	1.64
	4.69	4.18	1.75
	4.6	4	1.7
	4.65	4.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.78)	4.22 ↓ (4.34)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
20.6%

Draw
22.7%

Real Madrid
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

21.9%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

18.5%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.2%	3.1%	85.7%

Celtic - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (222 of 259 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.45% – 89.97%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Celtic has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (20%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real has currently - 0, has a good chance of 1st (55%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a small chance of 3rd (13%), has a good chance of round of 16 (82%), has a chance of qtrs (49%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has big quality 81, importance 63, big match rating 72. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Real could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real is a favorite.

There will not play in Celtic: Starfelt C. (Injury)

There will not play in Real: Odriozola A. (Injury) Vallejo J. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
03.09.22	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	4:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
31.08.22	Ross County - Celtic	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
28.08.22	Dundee United - Celtic	0:9 ✺
21.08.22	Celtic - Hearts	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Kilmarnock - Celtic	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.09.22	Real Madrid - Betis	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Espanyol - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
20.08.22	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	1:4 ✺
14.08.22	Almería - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
10.08.22	Real Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Football Challenge
11.08.12	Real Madrid - Celtic	N/A

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