The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 73.9%
Draw 16.9%
Arenas Club de Getxo 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
20.4%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
19.6%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.
Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fran (G) 2. Jimenez D. 15. Martinez J. 3. Valdepenas V. 21. Aguado D. 47. Ciria A. 14. Cestero Sancho J. 20. Fortuny P. 8. Angel M. 10. Palacios C. 18. Fettal R.
25. Aragoneses S. (G) 24. Boriko S. 4. Alvarez P. 5. Garcia P. 3. Fernandez Cozar M. 8. Zabala M. 23. Sustatxa A. 10. Hidalgo A. 17. Navarro S. 2. Vizcay T. 12. Lartitegi J.
Substitutes
35. Bailon J. 23. Fati L. 11. Iglesias Lois B. 32. Navascues L. 29. Ortega J. 6. Perea C. 46. Rezola M. 5. Serrano M. 13. Sunico G. (G) 7. Yanez D. 9. Zuniga L.
27. Bazaga O. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 15. Mathieu K. 22. Mattheus C. 6. Merino J. 19. Mutilva C. 13. Pena A. (G) 21. Sillero J. 9. Vazquez A. 20. Zabaleta E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Fernandez Cozar M. ⚽,
36', Aragoneses S. 🟨,
37', Valdepenas V. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
42', 0 - 2, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Fettal R. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Fortuny P. ⚽,
45+9', Martinez J. 🟨,
45+10', Fernandez Cozar M. ↓, Zabaleta E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Fettal R. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
59', Ortega J. 🟨,
69', Sustatxa A. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
69', Hidalgo A. ↓, Bazaga O. ↑,
69', Navarro S. ↓, Merino J. ↑,
75', Garcia P. 🟨,
76', Ciria A. ↓, Navascues L. ↑,
76', Angel M. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Bazaga O. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Palacios C. ⚽,
90+11', 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 12).
Real Madrid Castilla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Arenas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the obvious favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Spain
Switzerland
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Fran (G) 
Fettal R. 
Boriko S. 
Mathieu K. 
