Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday


	Real Madrid Castilla		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.7	3.3	4.75
	1.65	3.45	4.6
	1.68	3.53	5.41
	1.64	3.74	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)	3.47 ↑ (3.26)	4.75 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
54.4%

Draw
26.3%

UCAM Murcia
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Real Madrid Castilla - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.03.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Linense	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Sabadell - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2 ✺
13.03.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	5:2 ✺
08.03.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.03.22	Albacete Balompié - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
19.03.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	UCAM Murcia - Villarreal B	2:3 ✺
06.03.22	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
30.05.16	Real Madrid Castilla - UCAM Murcia	2:2
22.05.16	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1

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