Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Real Madriz		Walter Ferretti

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	1.85
	3.25	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.63	3.36	1.9
	3.6	3.66	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.7	3.51	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madriz
26.3%

Draw
26.1%

Walter Ferretti
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.1%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 1.

Real Madriz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Walter Ferretti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Madriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Walter Ferretti has had a series of home games.

Walter Ferretti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madriz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ferretti	10	2	2	6	14:18	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.02.26	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	3:3 ✺
19.02.26	Real Madriz - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Real Madriz - Municipal Jalapa	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- Deportivo Walter Ferretti
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.02.26	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Estelí	0:4 ✺
12.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Managua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.01.26	Walter Ferretti - Real Madriz	1:0
28.09.25	Walter Ferretti - Real Madriz	3:2
23.07.25	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	2:0
13.03.22	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	0:2
22.01.22	Walter Ferretti - Real Madriz	3:0
01.10.21	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	3:1
31.07.21	Walter Ferretti - Real Madriz	4:1

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