Match Info

Date: 9 June 2021, Wednesday


	Real Monarchs		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	2.95	2.88	2.35
	2.9	2.95	2.34
	3.13	3.14	2.47
	2.9	3	2.35
	2.82	3.22	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.44)	3.05 ↓ (3.55)	2.34 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Monarchs
30.9%

Draw
30%

Sacramento Republic
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.9%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

20.1%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Monarchs - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (59.1%), has project points - 30, has currently - 2, has a small chance of playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 3 (25.34%), has project points - 48, has currently - 7, has a good chance of playoffs (72%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Real Monarchs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sacramento Republic have a series of home games.

Sacramento Republic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Monarchs won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Monarchs SLC
USL Championship
04.06.21	Real Monarchs - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
26.05.21	Austin Bold - Real Monarchs	2:0 ✺
21.05.21	Real Monarchs - Austin Bold	1:1 ✺
14.05.21	Real Monarchs - LA Galaxy II	0:2 ✺
08.05.21	San Antonio - Real Monarchs	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLT
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
05.06.21	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	1:3 ✺
02.06.21	Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots	3:3 ✺
29.05.21	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
22.05.21	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
12.05.21	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.04.21	Sacramento Republic - Real Monarchs	2:0
USL Championship
19.10.19	Real Monarchs - Sacramento Republic	3:0
09.03.19	Sacramento Republic - Real Monarchs	1:1
07.07.18	Sacramento Republic - Real Monarchs	0:0
29.05.18	Real Monarchs - Sacramento Republic	1:0
20.10.17	Real Monarchs - Sacramento Republic	1:1
27.09.17	Sacramento Republic - Real Monarchs	0:2

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