Match Info

Date: 8 March 2020, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.12	2.78	3.35
	2.26	2.89	3.72
	2.2	2.9	3.4
	2.15	3.04	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	3.41 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
41.9%

Draw
31.3%

Don Benito
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

21.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
23.02.20	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
16.02.20	Villarrobledo - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	Real Murcia - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
02.02.20	San Fernando - Real Murcia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLT
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Don Benito - Villarrubia	5:0 ✺
23.02.20	Granada B - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
16.02.20	Don Benito - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Marbella - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Don Benito - Linense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.19	Don Benito - Real Murcia	2:1
31.03.19	Real Murcia - Don Benito	0:1
11.11.18	Don Benito - Real Murcia	0:0

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