Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	El Ejido		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	1.9	2.8	4.5
	1.93	2.85	4.1
	1.98	2.95	4.81
	2	2.9	4
	1.96	3.13	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)	2.93 ↓ (2.98)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
46.7%

Draw
31.3%

Lorca Deportiva
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Ejido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

El Ejido - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Relegation Group)).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

El Ejido will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.01.21	Betis B - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
10.01.21	El Ejido - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Deportivo A Coruña - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Córdoba - El Ejido	4:0 ✺
06.12.20	El Ejido - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Linares Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Numancia - Lorca Deportiva	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Sevilla B - Lorca Deportiva	4:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lorca Deportiva - Granada B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.20	Lorca Deportiva - El Ejido	2:2
11.02.18	Lorca Deportiva - El Ejido	0:2
24.09.17	El Ejido - Lorca Deportiva	5:1

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