Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Austria	A Spor, DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hungary	Sport 1
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Copa Del Rey, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	A Spor, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Eldense		Valencia

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.3	2
	4	3.5	2	Watch
	3.86	3.59	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2	Watch
	3.97	3.44	1.98	Watch
	4	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
24.4%

Draw
27.6%

Valencia
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.6%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

26.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	23.6%	67.3%

Eldense - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 5 - 9.3%). Valencia will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 54.1% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 14. Monsalve N. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 21. Bernal A. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 25. Collado D. 11. Ortuno J.	13. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 15. Tarrega C. 3. Mosquera C. 21. Vazquez J. 6. Guillamon H. 18. Pepelu (C) 16. Lopez D. 8. Guerra J. 7. Canos S. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
7. Bouzaidi S. 22. Grigore R. 13. Mackay I. (G) 3. Martos I. 16. Masca 27. Ogbuehi S. 2. Parra R. 9. Quintana Nacho 18. Ropero U. 24. Timor D.	10. Almeida A. 5. Barrenechea E. 38. Cordoba I. 1. Domenech J. (G) 24. Gasiorowski Y. 17. Gomez D. 22. Rioja L. 31. Rubo 12. Sadiq U. 32. Tejon M. 30. Valera G.
Coaches
Ponz D.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Canos S. ⚽, Lopez D. (A),
33', Pina 🟨,
35', Collado D. 🟨,
37', Guillamon H. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Lopez D. ⚽, Canos S. (A),
39', Lopez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Guerra J. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
58', Guillamon H. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
58', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
58', Ortuno J. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
58', Bernal A. ↓, Timor D. ↑,
58', Collado D. ↓, Masca ↑,
68', Dimitrievski S. 🟨,
70', Lopez D. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
75', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
84', Garcia V. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
85', Canos S. ↓, Valera G. ↑,
90+2', Sadiq U. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Eldense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valencia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Eldense have a series of guest games.

Valencia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:2 ✺
18.12.24	Málaga - Eldense	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Cádiz - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLTLW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
18.12.24	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1 ✺
13.12.24	Valladolid - Valencia	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Valencia - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLL

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