The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Pilar 69.7%
Draw 20.6%
Ituzaingó 9.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.5%
23.3%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
21.3%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Real Pilar - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Abre F. 11. Crocco M. 3. Franco E. 2. Gelos V. 4. Leguiza D. 8. Mancini V. 7. Martin B. 5. Pansardi F. 9. Rodriguez E. 10. Vergara D.
1. Almiron A. (G) 3. Bermejo M. 5. Desposito P. 7. Fanti J. 4. Garcia L. 2. Martinez J. 10. Maza J. 9. Odunukwe J. 6. Politano R. 11. Sala H. 15. Salvadores J.
Substitutes
19. Aguilar R. 13. Basualdo N. 16. Cesar J. 17. Gonzalez D. 14. Isola G. 15. Rios N. 20. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 18. Smith I.
16. Barea T. 12. Barraza L. (G) 8. Fernandez J. 19. Gras S. 13. Mantovani E. 20. Moreira 14. Regules I. 18. Santiago N. 17. Sotelo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Martin B. 🟨,
41', Fanti J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Salvadores J. 🟨,
61', Bermejo M. 🟨,
66', Vergara D. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
74', Franco E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
74', Crocco M. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
79', Martin B. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
79', Rodriguez E. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
80', Sala H. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
81', Maza J. ↓, Sotelo A. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 22nd in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: )).
Ituzaingó is Relegated to Primera C (Apertura ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 0.
In recent outings, Real Pilar has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ituzaingó is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, Real Pilar enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:7 (averaging 0.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Pilar against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:0.8 per game).
Argentina
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Perafan P. (G) 
Moreira 
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