Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Real Pilar		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.75
				Watch
	1.48	3.53	7.12
	1.49	3.6	7.26	Watch
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.47	3.66	7.75
	1.6	3.5	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	7.01 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
61.3%

Draw
25.6%

Sacachispas
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Real Pilar - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cano M. (G) 11. Crocco M. 3. Franco E. 7. Martin B. 4. Monge L. (C) 2. Otermin A. 5. Rios N. 9. Riquelme M. D. 6. Rodriguez J. 8. Smith I. 10. Vergara D.	1. Troncoso F. (G) 8. Abregu E. 9. Campuzano C. 2. Cena S. 3. Cruz A. 11. Magnano T. 7. Martinez J. 6. Paez R. 5. Priori R. 4. Romero K. 10. Zarate L.
Substitutes
16. Barreiro A. 15. Chambi L. 19. Diaz G. 14. Fantino L. 17. Gomez M. 13. Govi G. 18. Higuain 20. Pavia K. 12. Sanchez S. (G)	15. Barreto R. 20. Brotzman S. 13. Buonofiglio A. 17. Esquivel F. L. 12. Garcia 19. Monje A. 14. Soria E. 18. Villalba J. 16. Visco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Riquelme M. D. ⚽,
30', Romero K. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Martin B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abregu E. ↓, Monje A. ↑,
46', Zarate L. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
46', Magnano T. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
46', Otermin A. ↓, Govi G. ↑,
55', Vergara D. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
60', Campuzano C. 🟨,
67', Campuzano C. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
67', 🟨,
68', Monje A. 🟨,
79', Franco E. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
79', Martin B. ↓, Fantino L. ↑,
81', Smith I. 🟥,
83', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 20).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Real Pilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Pilar is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
18.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Real Pilar - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Villa San Carlos - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Real Pilar - UAI Urquiza	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Belgrano - Real Pilar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTL
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
10.05.25	Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	3:1 ✺
22.04.25	Sacachispas - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sacachispas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLTW

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