Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: America First Field (Sandy, UT)

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Real Salt Lake		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.85	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.7	4.67
	1.78	3.66	4.66	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.5
	1.76	3.78	5.05	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)	3.73 ↓ (3.79)	4.61 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
53.6%

Draw
25.6%

Toronto FC
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.1%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

20.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Real Salt Lake - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (G) 19. Hidalgo B. 4. Vera B. 15. Glad J. 98. Katranis A. 14. Eneli E. 6. Ojeda B. 11. Marczuk D. 8. Luna D. 10. Goncalves D. 36. Barea J.	1. Johnson S. (G) 28. Petretta R. 5. Long K. 17. Rosted S. 6. Thompson K. 21. Osorio J. 24. Insigne L. 20. Flores D. 7. Corbeanu T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 11. Etienne D.
Substitutes
17. Brook L. 92. Caliskan N. 72. Gozo Z. 29. Junqua S. 13. Palacio N. 23. Piol A. 26. Quinton P. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 16. Wolff T.	9. Brynhildsen O. 71. Cimermancic M. 14. Coello A. 23. Dominguez M. 19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 8. Longstaff M. 16. Spicer T. 76. Stefanovic L.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. ⚽,
12', Flores D. 🟨,
36', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
58', Corbeanu T. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
61', Luna D. 🟥,
62', Petretta R. 🟨,
66', Marczuk D. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
67', Eneli E. 🟨,
72', Etienne D. ↓, Brynhildsen O. ↑,
73', Johnson S. 🟨,
75', Ojeda B. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
75', Hidalgo B. ↓, Gozo Z. ↑,
84', Thompson K. 🟨,
87', Osorio J. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
87', Flores D. ↓, Coello A. ↑,
90+1', Barea J. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
90+5', Glad J. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salt Lake won 2.

Recent matches Salt Lake is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toronto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Salt Lake is a favorite.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Henry K. (Hamstring Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Lower-Body Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Lower-Body Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Salt Lake won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Salt Lake won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 1.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
12.04.25	Nashville SC - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- Toronto FC
MLS
12.04.25	Toronto FC - Minnesota United	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Toronto FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
01.07.23	Toronto FC - Real Salt Lake	0:1
09.04.22	Real Salt Lake - Toronto FC	2:2
18.05.19	Real Salt Lake - Toronto FC	3:0
30.03.18	Toronto FC - Real Salt Lake	3:1
04.03.17	Real Salt Lake - Toronto FC	0:0
03.08.16	Toronto FC - Real Salt Lake	1:0
29.03.15	Real Salt Lake - Toronto FC	2:1

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