Match Info

CHILE: CHILEAN CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Real San Joaquín		Santiago Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.87	3.1	2.2
	3.1	3	2.15
	2.91	3.05	2.14
	2.6	3.2	2.4
	3.16	3.2	2.19
	2.95	3.25	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (9.15)	3.15 ↓ (3.65)	2.21 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
30.7%

Draw
28.5%

Santiago Wanderers
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

25.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

20.5%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real San Joaquín's performance.

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santiago Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real San Joaquín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santiago Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Real San Joaquín - Santiago Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Real San Joaquín will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Wanderers: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Real San Joaquín is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santiago Wanderers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
25.03.23	Real San Joaquín - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Iberia Los Ángeles - Real San Joaquín	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Deportes Concepción - Real San Joaquín	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Linares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWW
- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.03.23	Cobreloa - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe	3:2 ✺
14.03.23	San Luis de Quillota - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTW

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