Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 29

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Real Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App


	Real Santa Cruz		Real Tomayapo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	3.45	3.7	1.93	Watch
	2.9	3.65	2.34
	2.97	3.43	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	2.82	3.48	2.27	Watch
	3.45	3.7	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santa Cruz
31.1%

Draw
26.3%

Real Tomayapo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Tomayapo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Ledezma O. (G) 19. Ribera O. 2. Ruano L. 14. Ibanez J. 30. Suarez R. 37. Mendoza G. 23. Pozo S. (C) 31. Cardenas I. 29. Abastoflor C. 7. Moreno B. 10. Caicedo J.	23. Galindo P. (G) 33. Mamani K. 5. Corulo L. 3. Carrasco J. 15. Orellana J. 29. Graneros A. 6. Villamil S. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 22. Alcaraz A. 17. Figueroa L. 19. Pinto D.
Substitutes
16. Ardaya L. 26. Barrios M. 77. Castillo J. 44. Gonzalez E. 4. Lopez B. 6. Ovando M. 21. Saldias L. 32. Soliz M. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 9. Veizaga J. 1. Zamora D. (G)	20. Aguilar F. 25. Arancibia A. (G) 8. Arano C. P. 37. Cardan M. 26. Lima R. 4. Maldonado D. 24. Sandoval S. 12. Tomianovic M. 30. Villamil J.
Coaches
Ibanez A.	Rubinich P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Graneros A. ⚽,
33', Suarez R. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
33', Mendoza G. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
40', 0 - 2, Figueroa L. ⚽, Barbery Gil M. G. (A),
44', Alcaraz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Pinto D. ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
46', Orellana J. ↓, Villamil J. ↑,
56', Figueroa L. ↓, Lima R. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Graneros A. ⚽, Arano C. P. (A),
59', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
60', Cardenas I. ↓, Vaca Hurtado E. ↑,
60', Moreno B. ↓, Veizaga J. ↑,
61', Caicedo J. 🟨,
66', Villamil S. 🟨,
69', Alcaraz A. ↓, Maldonado D. ↑,
74', 0 - 4, Graneros A. ⚽, Tomianovic M. (A),
74', Pozo S. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Ruano L. ⚽, Abastoflor C. (A),
88', Ruano L. 🟨,
88', Corulo L. 🟨,
90', 1 - 5, Arano C. P. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 1.

Real Santa Cruz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tomayapo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tomayapo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tomayapo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.12.24	Always Ready - Real Santa Cruz	5:2 ✺
11.12.24	Real Santa Cruz - Blooming	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
04.12.24	The Strongest - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	2:1 ✺
10.12.24	The Strongest - Real Tomayapo	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
13.09.24	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	2:1
07.04.24	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	2:1
17.02.24	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	1:2
17.07.23	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	1:0
12.02.23	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	1:0
30.09.22	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	1:1
15.07.22	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	1:2

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